20+ years of FBI data – “Assault Rifles” pose little threat to public safety

AR15s are now by far the most popular gun being sold on the civilian market in the United States. By some estimates, nearly a quarter of all firearms sold in 2014 and 2015 were so-called "Assault Rifles" like the AR15, of which the vast majority were AR15s or variants thereof.

AR15s are now by far the most popular gun being sold on the civilian market in the United States. By some estimates, nearly a quarter of all firearms sold in 2014 and 2015 were so-called “Assault Rifles” like the AR15, of this 25% figure, the vast majority were AR15s or variants thereof.

Since 1995 (the year after the 1994-2004 Assault Weapons Ban), the FBI has maintained a very detailed list of how many people have died at the hands of assault weapons and/or rifles, which are merged into the same group. Therefore, we can make a solid comparison on what gun violence looks like.

In 2014, you are 67% less likely to be murdered by an assault weapon or rifle than you were in 1995.

 




As a total share of the responsibility of murders in America, rifles are half as likely to be used in 2014 (2.07%) as they were during the peak year during the AWB in 1997 (4.08%).

Averaging out all years of the Assault Weapons Ban (1995 – 2003), we find that Assault Weapons/Rifles were used in 3.29% of all murders in the US, including mass murders and other crimes.

In the 10 years following the sunset of the ban (2005 – 2014), we find that Assault Weapons/Rifles were used in 2.62% of all murders in the United States. Therefore, there was a sizable decrease in the frequency of deaths caused by Assault Weapons/Rifles.

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The media on both sides will try to make different narratives about guns, violence, and what actions need to be taken. Both sides are, and have knee-jerk reactions to tragedies. What I fear is that laws will be created and borne out of feelings and emotions rather than solid, empirical evidence. As per the FBI, this is the data we have available, and it does not suggest in any way that another ban or restriction will have any meaningful effect on murder, mass murder, or violence in America.

I would suggest, then, that murder and violence in America has a deeper systemic issue that will not be solved by reactionary laws.

Spreadsheet source for data provided in article : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rMvH0wvt4qqmU86FZYgIQLMzUK-xWpTmYsp8IY6Cm-w/edit?usp=sharing

Date Table URL Note
2010 – 2014: https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2014/crime-in-the-u.s.-2014/tables/expanded-homicide-data/expanded_homicide_data_table_8_murder_victims_by_weapon_2010-2014.xls
2009: Table 20 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2009
2008: Table 20 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2008
2007: Table 20 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2007 State data from table 20 aggregated into a final tally for all states
2006: Table 20 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2006 State data from table 20 aggregated into a final tally for all states
2005: Table 7 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2005 Note: 2005 UCR Table 7 contains different values for murders and firearm usage for 2001-2005. As per table, 2,111 murders were commited with rifles, and 71,859 murders were committed in the aforementioned time span
2004: Table 20 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2004 State data from table 20 aggregated into a final tally for all states
2003: Table 2.12 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2003
2002: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2002
2001: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2001
2000: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2000
1999: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/1999
1998: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/1998/98sec2.pdf
1997: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/1997/97sec2.pdf
1996: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/1996/96sec2.pdf
1995: Table 2.13 https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/1995/95sec2.pdf
Pre-1994 Murder Numbers http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/uscrime.htm These numbers do not entirely mesh with data obtained from the FBI UCR directly.
US Population: http://www.multpl.com/united-states-population/table

Phenomenon causes airplanes to spontaneously take off

Full Video :





It’s called a ‘microburst’ event.

According to wikipedia

A microburst is a small downdraft that moves in a way opposite of a tornado. Microbursts are found in strong thunderstorms . Within a thunderstorm there are two types of microbursts: wet microbursts and dry microbursts. They go through three stages in their life cycle: the downburst, outburst, and cushion stages. Microbursts can be particularly dangerous to aircraft, especially during landing due to the wind shear caused by its gust front. Several fatal crashes having been attributed to the phenomenon over the past several decades, and flight crew training goes to great lengths on how to properly recover from a microburst/wind shear event.

So, in the event shown in the video, extremely strong, spontaneous winds showed up at a Air Force training base and caused airplanes to start to move. Air crews came to the planes immediately to assist in piloting them while not actually using engine power. Instead, they just let the wind pick the aircraft up and set them down while the microburst.

Due to the quick acting of the pilots and ground crews, no one was hurt and only minimal damage was done to planes and the airfield.





What’s more dangerous : Islam or guns

Let’s use some factual evidence to look at whether or not it makes sense to ban Islam in the United States, or to ban so-called assault weapons.

islam-vs-guns





So, looking at the above infographic, the information provided is the following

50,000,000 estimated semi-automatic rifles in private possession with a result of 358 people killed on average by Rifles overall (FBI does not differentiate between semi-automatic rifles and bolt action ones).

The resulting number of people killed per semi-auto rifle (Also known in the media as assault rifles) of 0.00000716 , or 0.716 per 100,000 guns.

The number of Americans killed in the United States by known Islamic terror attacks between June 2015 and June 2016 is 0.0000265 , or 2.65 deaths per 100,000 Muslims in the United States.

Now, let’s compare this to the number of registered cars in the United States – 235.5 million vs 32,675 total deaths. Resulting in 13.9 deaths per 100,000 cars (.000139 per car).

So, to reiterate

  • 0.716 deaths from 100k semi-auto rifles
  • 2.65 deaths per 100k Muslims
  • 13.9 deaths per 100,000 cars
  • These are a few numbers that you need to keep in mind next time people are talking about making something illegal, deporting religious adherents, or other similar laws in the name of public safety.

    And if you’re wondering where some of the data is from.

    https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/offenses-known-to-law-enforcement/expanded-homicide/expanded_homicide_data_table_8_murder_victims_by_weapon_2008-2012.xls (We used 2014 numbers)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Islamist_terrorist_attacks

    Support Trump? You could risk losing everything

    This isn’t one of those “Oh well, if HE gets elected the country is going to fall apart”.

    No, it’s much more ominous than that.

    This is the forcable silencing of people who support Donald Trump for president, and an attempt to force opinion change not through physical violence, but threats of job loss and such.

    This is all taking place on one of the largest websites in the world : reddit.com which sees hundreds of millions of page accesses every single day.

    Part of the design of this website, is that it allows users to self-create and self-moderate mini-websites called subreddits that allow users to talk about topics of their choice. Two of those subreddits are The_Donald which is home to 135,000+ Donald Trump supporters. The other page is Politics which is home to more than 3,000,000 members.





    In both cases, the websites are supposed to allow free discourse and conversation. Except for an interesting event that happened today : The supporters of Donald Trump have called out various websites (Including reddit.com) of actively deleting pro-Trump and anti-Clinton news stories. Essentially, there are many groups now censoring censorship stories if they are talking about their choice of candidate.

    Jail time over free thou

    Worst of all, it’s far beyond just simple ship, and evolved into more or less extortion schemes to support Hillary Clinton, and to a lesser extent, Bernie Sanders.

    What are the threats? Being reported to your ISP for ‘hate speech’, being reported to the company you work for ‘racist speech’ which could result in job loss, posting of your personal and private information online to various attack groups and the like. In fact, as it stands now, these things have happened to virtually everyone who helps organize Trump support pages.

    This all of course goes along with the anti-Trump narrative of throwing eggs at women and hitting gay latino men in the head with bricks.

    In this case, a anti-trump prostestor hid a brick inside a water bottle holder. It was then used to hit a gay, Latino man named Juan Hernandez an outspoken advocate of the homosexual lifestyle in the head causing bloodshed.

    In this case, a anti-trump protester hid a brick inside a water bottle holder. It was then used to hit a gay, Latino man in the head causing bloodshed.

    In this case eggs and bottles were used to assault a female trump supporter.

    In this case eggs and bottles were used to assault a female trump supporter.

    So, the question remains, what political movement throws bricks at gay people, eggs at women, threatens to kill political supporters and get them fired at their job?

    Evidently, that group is the ones under the banner of tolerance and diversity.





    Walking dead in the flesh : Venezuela becomes apocalyptic hellhole (NSFW)

    “Socialism is great, it works so well in Europe” is the banner of many people during the current US political cycle.

    Then, there’s the other side of the coin : Venezuela, which is quickly becoming a real life version of shows like The Walking Dead, The Road and The Terminator.

    One of the worst things is that the country is ACTIVELY refusing help from outside countries who are offering medical aid. The reasoning is because ‘There is no crisis‘ while people die from ancient diseases that modern society wiped out a long time ago. Things like Cholera, Infections and Dystentary. Even a broken arm is now becoming a very real possibility of leading to death.

    So, without further chatter, THIS is what the end of the world might look like, with hashtags and high quality photos.

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    16 - mNK42VA






    15 - tSuLfVs

    14 - ce5RM3L

    13 - LnTPgug

    23 - OOdi9Bg
    12 - Y9DWOzw

    11 - 7d5AWVH

    08 - wpjfX5G



    07 - OcswpBU

    01 - l7bCLok

    04 - Ui1v3ID

    05 - 34YHjqw

    06 - fgbwR6P
    22 - Hyzzobr

    21 - Ufc9jTp

    20 - d4rj4gQ




    19 - dQY4X0t

    As a note, there are a few websites calling out photos like these as ‘fakes’. We have gone through and done our best to determine the authenticity of all photos. These all have been sourced by locals in-country in the past 1 month.

    The day 5 million Children disappeared

    Call it what you want, but April 15th 1987 is a day that should be in the back of everyone’s minds as a watershed event in American history.

    Why?

    Because, on the night of April 15th 1987, a total of 7 million children disappeared from the United States. Thankfully, some of these children (Approximately 2 million) later were ‘found’, and all contribute to one of the more unique cases of American history, but also a major lesson in Economics.

    So, what caused 5+ million children to disappear? Well, president Reagan happened. Source

    Just like a scene from Star Trek, American citizens made 5+ million children disappear seemingly overnight

    Just like a scene from Star Trek, American citizens made 5+ million children disappear seemingly overnight

    Prior to 1987, oddly enough it was possible to claim as many dependents as you wanted on your taxes. Since there was a child tax credit for every additional dependent in your household, it was quite easy to just put the names down of additional, non-existent children for your family and get glorious government money.






    Reagan though, in 1986 decided that rather than let people claim taxes on the honor system, part of the change in tax policy would require entry of Social Security numbers for all household members. This was all due to take effect by tax season 1987.

    Once 1987 rolled around, a grand total of 7 million children disappeared from tax roles.

    Eventually 2 million wound back up as dependents, as many parents never asked for Social Security numbers be issued for their kids. So for 1988 the number dropped from a total of 7 million missing children to 5 million. One of the major morals of the story would be to remember that people love to cheat on taxes. And in this case, it wasn’t the rich or even the 1% that were hosing tax payers, it was normal, every-day families.

    Another fun fact was that in 1989 the US government went a little further, and started checking into child daycare credits. This year, not just children had disappeared into thin air, but 2.6 million babysitters also vanished as well. A total savings of $1.2 billion dollars, all taken once again not by the 1% but ordinary, average people wanting to cheat on their taxes.

    Source

    Source #2




    New, mind-blowing panorama of Mars will take your breath away

    Be sure to click photo to show it in full resolution.

    Be sure to click the photo to expand it to its full panoramic glory!

    Be sure to click the photo to expand it to its full panoramic glory!

    This fantastic photo was stitched together from dozens of high-resolution photos taken by the Mars Curiosity rover.

    The foreground and middle distance show a geologic scene dominated by eroded remnants of a finely layered ancient sandstone deposit. Since landing, the rover traversed through terrains dominated by water-lain sedimentary rocks (mudstones and siltstones, and early on, conglomerates), some of which have contained minerals like clays that attest to the ancient presence of water. However, the rover crossed into very different geology while climbing onto the Naukluft Plateau. The sandstone here appears to be dominated by thick layers of windblown sand, suggesting that these deposits formed in a drier epoch. These rocks resemble the types of rocks that a dune field like the “Bagnold Dunes” (PIA20283) — visited by Curiosity in late 2015 and early 2016 –would form if buried. Source

    While the photo has been enhanced by NASA, they have done a good job of keeping it realistic in how the colors are portrayed.

    Heres another fantastic panorama taken of Mount Sharp in 2012.

    Heres another fantastic panorama taken of Mount Sharp in 2012.

    10 Days before Pike County massacre, family patrolled property with firearms


    Pike-County-shooting--3--jpgDue to the prevalence of social media, the killings in Pike County Ohio have taken many twists and turns. Much of this has been driven by the internet.

    Through this, many unique, interesting reports and perspectives have been offered on the slayings. In the beginning, it appeared that a honest, down-to-earth family that wouldn’t hurt anybody had been the victim of some senseless mass murder. However as time goes on, a more sinister plot is devleoping that puts a family in this sleepy part of southern Ohio in the middle of a international drug ring.

    Just a few days ago, the Ohio Attorney General confirmed that pot plants were found on the property during the investigation period. Now just hours ago the Ohio state AG also confirmed that a illegal animal fighting ring was also run on the property.

    In the midst of this, another story unfolded on Facebook, one that was very quickly deleted due to immediate threats started to be issued.

    On April the 10th, a group of kids (As claimed) were joyriding on Union Road outside of Piketon Ohio. What unfolded was a scenario that makes one question further just what was going on.

    The short of the story is this : While joyriding on Union Road, a group of teenagers was stopped by a unnamed group of armed individuals. The kids were then told to turn around and leave the property. The un-named group (And based on the very few houses on Union Road, it is extremely likely it was the family or someone connected to those murdered). The family that showed up was armed with baseball bats, firearms, and other weapons. They even tried to pull the joyrriding occupants from the car, however the car was able to drive away.

    Once home, the individual who drove the car took to facebook to talk about his experience and to brag about forming a posse to go ‘take care of them.

    Now, we are not accusing this individual, who has now gone into hiding due to his name being pasted thousands of times on social media. The question is why were groups of people making armed patrols on Union Road in Piketon county?

    All records have been deleted on Facebook, except for the very limited screenshots we were able to take. Mostly responses mentioning the events as originally posted.

    People react to them being stopped and called racial slurs while being held at gunpoint.

    People react to them being stopped and called racial slurs while being held at gunpoint.





    Neighbors talk about how it wasn't the first time someone was stopped at gunpoint on Union Hill road.

    Neighbors talk about how it wasn’t the first time someone was stopped at gunpoint on Union Hill road.

    screenshot11

    The driver of the car's mom took to facebook after the son was accused of killing the family via social media.

    The driver of the car’s mom took to facebook after the son was accused of killing the family via social media.





    Friends of the driver asking how many people can go out to Union Hill road and fight.

    Friends of the driver asking how many people can go out to Union Hill road and fight.

    Now, having said all of this, we are not accusing the individual, his friends, or family of being a part of a murder plot against those slain. HOWEVER the fact remains that it’s very likely that the family on Union Hill road was EXPECTING A POTENTIAL ATTACK as they were patrolling their road with firearms and other weapons, and showed a willingness to stop people who were unknown to them.

    Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine also confirmed that there was a very recent threat made against Chris Rhoden JR. And from what we can tell, the screenshots are from the original threat, and have nothing to do with the murders, yet provide valuable insight into what happened.



    Family comes home to find home full of men tearing property apart

    It’s one of those things out of a horror novel.

    A family comes home to find it full of individuals completely ransacking the property. However in this case, it was something a bit different.

    It was a “Property preservation” company, tasked with removing trash from her supposedly foreclosed home. Instead what is going to happen will be a massive lawsuit and all sorts of dirt uncovered due to the obscene neglect shown by the company as the homeowner was not in foreclosure.



    Not only did they remove her possessions, they destroyed the home looking for valuables. Even cutting cords off of appliances to try and recover scrap metal.

    "This is what we came home too Thursday. 5 people were going through our house and loading everything valuable they could find. They cut the cords on all the appliances for the copper under the plastic. Yes they were still there when the sheriff was called and I'm now in the mist of filing criminal trespassing, breaking an entering, vandalism. They broke the bed frames and lamps. Everything was tossed in the floor looking for hidden valuables. This was a "preservation company" called Laudan properties who gave the work orders for a property "clean out" THEY WERE OBVIOUSLY MISINFORMED. But they refused to unload our things until the sheriff came and made them. . Completely crazy. It's gonna be a long road but we are definitely pressing charges and suing."

    “This is what we came home too Thursday. 5 people were going through our house and loading everything valuable they could find. They cut the cords on all the appliances for the copper under the plastic. Yes they were still there when the sheriff was called and I’m now in the mist of filing criminal trespassing, breaking an entering, vandalism. They broke the bed frames and lamps. Everything was tossed in the floor looking for hidden valuables. This was a “preservation company” called Laudan properties who gave the work orders for a property “clean out” THEY WERE OBVIOUSLY MISINFORMED ABOUT THE HOUSE BEING IN FORECLOSURE. But they refused to unload our things until the sheriff came and made them. . Completely crazy. It’s gonna be a long road but we are definitely pressing charges and suing.”

    home2

    home3

    Why would they cut cords? “This is pure speculation but the appliances with cut cords in the photos are low-value items like coffee makers, fans and DVD players. Sure, you could sell them, but first you have to store them, catalog them, figure out what price to ask for each item, etc. If they do multiple properties a week these appliances could add up quick. It’s probably quicker & easier to bring two piles of junk to the scrap yard, one pile of copper cords and one pile of cord-less appliances and just cash them in for the scrap value. Quicker & easier than dealing with each item individually, and I’m sure they make their money from quantity, not quality. She said they wouldn’t unload their truck until the sheriff arrived, so I’m assuming they were taking some of the high-value items like flat-screen TVs, etc. They probably left the cords on those.”




    home4

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    home8

    This all occurred in a small village in Ohio, provided by Reddit user karmicviolence, a photographer from Pataskala


    Mass shooting in Athens Ohio prevented by law abiding gun store owner

     Here’s another one of those events that likely will never even make a footnote of local news, let alone national news. Maybe the NRA or a similar group will run a blurb on it, however what SHOULD happen is every law abiding gun owner should be shouting this from the rooftops.

    The summary is this : A mentally disturbed man entered a gun store in Logan Ohio to purchase a handgun which he had planned to use to commit a mass shooting at Ohio University (Athens).



    The gun store owner picked up on something being ‘off’ with the man, and informed law enforcement. At one point he even barricaded himself in the gun store. Police eventually showed up and arrested the man and found evidence he was planning the mass shooting.

    While you’re at it , why not check out another story where an armed citizen prevents ANOTHER mass shooting. Since you won’t see it likely on the news either.

    athens college
    On Monday, March 21st, the Hocking County Sheriff’s Office received a phone call from a local gun store. The owner advised that a male came in to purchase a firearm and was making statements that made the owner question his mental stability and the reason for purchasing the firearm.

    The owner told the male that he was not going to sell him a firearm at which point the male became agitated and began screaming threats at the owner as he was laving the store.

    Deputies responded to the store to take a report on the incident. Through their investigation it was discovered that the male, James D. Howard, 25 of Canfield, Ohio, had assaulted and threatened a faculty member of the Ohio University in Athens earlier that day. The Ohio University Police Department had obtained an arrest warrant for Howard for Assault and Aggravated Trespassing.

    A short time later, the gun store owner advised that Howard had returned to his store but he had locked the doors so he could not come in. Deputies responded to the area in an attempt to locate Howard.

    Sheriff’s Office personnel with the assistance of the Logan Police Department located Howard’s vehicle in the parking lot of Wal-Mart. Deputies located Howard inside the store at the firearms counter attempting to purchase a large quantity of ammunition, gloves and camouflage clothing.

    Deputies executed a search warrant on Howard’s vehicle and located a newly purchased firearm in the back seat along with various other survival gear. Deputies took Howard into custody and transported him to the Regional Jail.